30-Year Stock Returns Starting at Recent Valuations

Research on Safe Withdrawal Rates

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Mike
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Joined: Sun Jul 06, 2003 4:00 am

Post by Mike »

15-Year Stock Returns
The bottom end projected 15 year returns are rather abysmal. Most planners seem to look at the 30 year numbers when making recommendations. Those facing a 15 year retirement would gain little from equities compared to the risk.
It takes unusual circumstances for stocks to be attractive at today's valuations.
I don't find the S&P attractive at today's valuations.
A switching allocation of 100% makes sense.
At least if the only two options are S&P or fixed income.
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