KenM ... you're one wise fella :shock:
"zen of SWRs", eh?
Gotta put that here:
http://home.golden.net/~pjponzo/SWR-3.htm
Search found 107 matches
- Fri Jun 06, 2003 12:39 am
- Forum: FIRE Board
- Topic: SWR: adjust for high valuation, or at least note risk?
- Replies: 16
- Views: 13150
- Thu Jun 05, 2003 11:23 pm
- Forum: FIRE Board
- Topic: How will you use a "new/improved" swr analysis
- Replies: 49
- Views: 58533
- Thu Jun 05, 2003 5:54 am
- Forum: FIRE Board
- Topic: How will you use a "new/improved" swr analysis
- Replies: 49
- Views: 58533
- Thu Jun 05, 2003 5:45 am
- Forum: FIRE Board
- Topic: How will you use a "new/improved" swr analysis
- Replies: 49
- Views: 58533
Although I promised myself I wouldn't, I really have to jump in and play in your sandbox I fail to understand why you wouldn't want to play in our sandbox. Actually, this is the most interesting discussion I've read in a long time. However, although I enjoy READING the posts, I don't enjoy particip...
- Thu Jun 05, 2003 12:50 am
- Forum: FIRE Board
- Topic: How will you use a "new/improved" swr analysis
- Replies: 49
- Views: 58533
- Tue Jun 03, 2003 5:23 am
- Forum: FIRE Board
- Topic: The Great SWR Investigation-Part 2
- Replies: 128
- Views: 81833
P.S.
If'n yer curious to see my misadventures:
http://home.golden.net/~pjponzo/distributions-stuff.htm
... but don't tell nobuddy.
If'n yer curious to see my misadventures:
http://home.golden.net/~pjponzo/distributions-stuff.htm
... but don't tell nobuddy.
- Tue Jun 03, 2003 4:44 am
- Forum: FIRE Board
- Topic: The Great SWR Investigation-Part 2
- Replies: 128
- Views: 81833
- Mon Jun 02, 2003 4:44 am
- Forum: FIRE Board
- Topic: The Great SWR Investigation-Part 2
- Replies: 128
- Views: 81833
I've been following 10,000 investors, each (initially) with a $1.00 portfolio and a Withdrawal Rate of 4%, increasing at 2% per year (that's inflation) and getting a random annual return (a la Monte Carlo, selected from a lognormal distribution, Mean Return = 9%, Standard Deviation = 15%). I have th...
- Mon Jun 02, 2003 1:55 am
- Forum: FIRE Board
- Topic: The Great SWR Investigation-Part 2
- Replies: 128
- Views: 81833
- Mon Jun 02, 2003 1:40 am
- Forum: FIRE Board
- Topic: The Great SWR Investigation-Part 2
- Replies: 128
- Views: 81833
wanderer : That stuff on past-future http://home.golden.net/~pjponzo/past-future.htm was written months ago, long before I knew NFB existed. I was motivated by a silly discussion on Morningstar where posters kept saying that the past is of no value in predicting the future, then suggested some opti...
- Sun Jun 01, 2003 11:55 am
- Forum: FIRE Board
- Topic: The Great SWR Investigation-Part 2
- Replies: 128
- Views: 81833
- Sun Jun 01, 2003 1:58 am
- Forum: FIRE Board
- Topic: The Great SWR Investigation-Part 2
- Replies: 128
- Views: 81833
When you retire, don't trust some historically generated SWR rot.
Neat! I had to stick it here:
http://home.golden.net/~pjponzo/past-future.htm
- Fri May 30, 2003 11:57 am
- Forum: FIRE Board
- Topic: The Great SWR Investigation-Part 2
- Replies: 128
- Views: 81833
- Fri May 30, 2003 11:04 am
- Forum: FIRE Board
- Topic: The Great SWR Investigation-Part 2
- Replies: 128
- Views: 81833
- Fri May 30, 2003 9:14 am
- Forum: FIRE Board
- Topic: The Great SWR Investigation-Part 2
- Replies: 128
- Views: 81833
- Fri May 30, 2003 9:02 am
- Forum: FIRE Board
- Topic: The Great SWR Investigation-Part 2
- Replies: 128
- Views: 81833
- Fri May 30, 2003 8:11 am
- Forum: FIRE Board
- Topic: The Great SWR Investigation-Part 2
- Replies: 128
- Views: 81833
- Fri May 30, 2003 6:17 am
- Forum: FIRE Board
- Topic: The Great SWR Investigation-Part 2
- Replies: 128
- Views: 81833
hocus : Include in the mathematical calculations data on all the factors that determine the answer to the Question you are trying to answer. I must be slow, but, so that I might (more clearly) understand the point you're making (regarding mathematically generated SWR s), maybe we could agree that a...
- Fri May 30, 2003 1:36 am
- Forum: FIRE Board
- Topic: The Great SWR Investigation-Part 2
- Replies: 128
- Views: 81833
- Fri May 30, 2003 1:04 am
- Forum: FIRE Board
- Topic: The Great SWR Investigation-Part 2
- Replies: 128
- Views: 81833
WiseNLucky: I'm not sure how to read the graph. Is it saying that at 6% of the original portfolios failed, that 3% of them had $10 million and that 1% of them had $20 million? Aah, now I understand! (It's that creeping senility ag'in. Sometimes I don't even understand the missus.) Anyway, it's my f...