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Ataloss hereby retires from the SWR board. I have decided to stop posting on the swr research board. I have not really found anything of value there. . . Ataloss, That seems like a wise move to me. I sometimes get wound up with a thread on one of the retire early boards when I see misinformation or...

. . . Not to clobber a dead horse but if a retiree had bailed out of an 80% stock portfolio and into cash when the PE10 rose above 20 at the start of 1993 and started taking out 4%/yr. to live on then his starting portfolio of $1M would now be worth $749,000 (inflation adjusted) and he'd still be s...

Good stuff, raddr. Thanks for detailed analysis.

I wonder if the shift you observe occured gradually over time (increasing a little each decade) or in one large step (brought on by some technical advancement or change in regulations)?

There is another fundamental problem here. Using an empirical curve fit outside of the data range that was used to establish the curve is of extremely questionable value. For example, data that is well fit to a straight line can be fit equally well to an appropriately defined tanh (hyperbolic tangen...

. . . The really funny thing was that there was this fellow SalaryGuru who tore all of the hoco-logic into tiny little bits. And hocus didn't have the excuse of claiming that there was disruption or deception or ridicule or personal attack on the thread. Dory36 made it clear early on that he wasn't...

Does anyone know what exactly "average existing home price" means? I think this is a measurement of the average price of every home sold. So in a city that is building lots of larger, newer homes each year, the average existing home price is going up simply because the average home that is...