Search found 435 matches

by hocus
Wed Oct 08, 2003 11:33 pm
Forum: FIRE Board
Topic: Possible FIRE FAQ
Replies: 11
Views: 9594

Ataloss: I thought I was exercising restraint by not following wanderer's advice Quote from Wanderer: also, please make sure there is a link to your posts, around the time preceding Ed Easterling's visit, citing evidence that hocus definitely didn't 'know it all' from the beginning. If disparaging ...
by hocus
Wed Oct 08, 2003 9:44 am
Forum: SWR Research Group
Topic: Juicy SWR Thread on "Early Retirement Forum"
Replies: 8
Views: 10562

I had wanted to join in on those discussions, but I decided not to. I was overwhelmed by how much effort that it would take to overcome even the simplest of errors. I decided that the thing to do was to put up a post at the Early Retirement Forum letting people there know about this board and invit...
by hocus
Wed Oct 08, 2003 6:33 am
Forum: FIRE Board
Topic: Possible FIRE FAQ
Replies: 11
Views: 9594

I think that we shouldn't discourage John from continuing his investigations, and in fact, we should encourage him. I agree, BenSolar. You have some sort of personal issue with me that keeps you from participating at the SWR board where JWR1945 is doing this wonderful work. I ask that you reflect o...
by hocus
Wed Oct 08, 2003 3:13 am
Forum: SWR Research Group
Topic: Juicy SWR Thread on "Early Retirement Forum"
Replies: 8
Views: 10562

Juicy SWR Thread on "Early Retirement Forum"

Here's the thread: http://www.early-retirement.org/cgi-bin/yabb/YaBB.pl?board=saferate_board;action=display;num=1064511080;start= Excerpts: mikey: What counts is not where the hyper-emtional Mr. Market happens to value your portfolio on a given date, but the underlying long term earning power of you...
by hocus
Mon Sep 29, 2003 4:05 am
Forum: FIRE Board
Topic: Is SWR a can of worms?
Replies: 29
Views: 19679

I always thought 4% was a "rule of thumb...." I backed into "studying" some of the claims being made because I wanted to see where this led. Not really anywhere. When I was first studying the question, I approached it from an entirely different perspertive than you, Ataloss. Thi...
by hocus
Sun Sep 28, 2003 10:12 am
Forum: FIRE Board
Topic: What about NFB threads to cite in the FAQ
Replies: 10
Views: 8142

Does hocus realize his bizarre approach to building a case now has me actually defending the rehp approach? Good lord!

It's a curious turn of events, Wanderer.

But enough words have been spilled on this for the time-being.
by hocus
Sat Sep 27, 2003 10:13 am
Forum: SWR Research Group
Topic: Indicators and Retirement Portfolios
Replies: 5
Views: 6905

Who really wants to be on the sidelines for 10 or 15 years without buying anything? I presume that by the phrase "on the sidelines," you mean to be out of stocks. Personally, I would not advise hardly anyone to be out of stocks for that long a time-period. Personally, I would not advise h...
by hocus
Sat Sep 27, 2003 9:23 am
Forum: SWR Research Group
Topic: A Question about The Wave
Replies: 2
Views: 5027

Was there any conscious connection between your reference to The Wave in terms of early retirements and John Mauldin's website and email newsletter? There's no connection. I like Mauldin's stuff, and I believe (based on excerpts he has published at his site) that his forthcoming book ("Absolut...
by hocus
Fri Sep 26, 2003 11:25 am
Forum: SWR Research Group
Topic: Invalid
Replies: 3
Views: 5782

Is there any way to shorten it up or to do something else to make sure that people add the "for the purpose of" part? I'll make it a practice from now on to include the "for the purpose of " part each time I make the invalidity claim. I would like something sufficient to get peo...
by hocus
Fri Sep 26, 2003 10:22 am
Forum: SWR Research Group
Topic: Invalid
Replies: 3
Views: 5782

People do not like to call the study invalid. IMHO, they interpret that word as rejecting the historical sequence method in toto. That is not your intent You do not intend to reject raddr's sensitivity studies, nor my investigations that have used the FIRECalc, nor many others. I think that that is...
by hocus
Fri Sep 26, 2003 7:02 am
Forum: SWR Research Group
Topic: Retirement Investment Summary
Replies: 8
Views: 10117

I am always happy to post where I am welcome and it won't be too frustrating an experience. Then you should be posting here like a madman, Pete . The issue are as important as can be, and JWR1945 and I could use the company. The thing about your posting behavior that baffles me is that you say over...
by hocus
Fri Sep 26, 2003 6:20 am
Forum: SWR Research Group
Topic: Retirement Investment Summary
Replies: 8
Views: 10117

It is surprising to see how far we have advanced in such a short time. There have been a lot of contributions by a lot of people and a lot of steps, most of them very small. Taken together, they add up to a lot of progress. I agree completely.. This debate has demonstrated both the best of the new ...
by hocus
Fri Sep 26, 2003 1:39 am
Forum: SWR Research Group
Topic: Retirement Investment Summary
Replies: 8
Views: 10117

People are unwilling to post here because you're here hocus, no other reason. It's not me personally that is the problem. It is what I am going to do about the disruptive posting tactics that keeps defenders of the conventional methodology away from this board. The people who don't post here don't ...
by hocus
Thu Sep 25, 2003 11:19 am
Forum: SWR Research Group
Topic: Retirement Investment Summary
Replies: 8
Views: 10117

Wicked post! I'm beginning to understand why there are so few willing to post at this place. Watching you post lately is like watching Bob Gibson pitch in 1968. Looking at it from a seat on the bench, it's a thing of beauty to behold. But who really wants to pick up a bat and walk to the plate and s...
by hocus
Thu Sep 25, 2003 3:56 am
Forum: SWR Research Group
Topic: My Days at Pizza Hut University
Replies: 35
Views: 33489

I learned of the Scott Burns column linked below from an Ataloss post on the FIRE board. Ataloss picked it up from an RKMcDonald post over at the Motley Fool's Retire Early Home Pafe (REHP) board. http://money.msn.com/articles/invest/extra/9111.asp?special=msn Excerpt: Their findings, in a nutshell ...
by hocus
Tue Sep 23, 2003 10:52 pm
Forum: SWR Research Group
Topic: SWR was never near 2%
Replies: 2
Views: 5165

A safe withdrawal rate for a particular mix of asset classes may have been near 2%. However, THE SWR could not have been less than the TIPS ytm. It becomes impossible for a community to learn about a subject matter once a discussion board becomes polluted with word game posts. Your comment shows ho...
by hocus
Tue Sep 23, 2003 1:55 am
Forum: FIRE Board
Topic: Tossing coins
Replies: 79
Views: 55599

Repeated conspiracies against hocus cannot follow him from place to place without his having something to do with what happens. There are no conspiracies, Pete. And it is no coincidence that great hostility has been expressed re my posting at two different message boards. This is not personal. Peop...
by hocus
Tue Sep 23, 2003 1:16 am
Forum: FIRE Board
Topic: Tossing coins
Replies: 79
Views: 55599

Now, time for you to go.

Again, that's not helpful, Wanderer. You are doing harm to this community with your inabilitty to control yourself.
by hocus
Tue Sep 23, 2003 1:13 am
Forum: FIRE Board
Topic: Appeal for calm. Nothing to read here people. Stay calm!
Replies: 25
Views: 19984

I think we should just ignore the problem instead of continuing to feed it. Maybe it will go away. Or just starve to death. Exactly! I don't agree that my ideas re SWRs are a "problem," of course. But to those who don;t want to hear them, I suppose they are perceived as that. The obvious ...
by hocus
Tue Sep 23, 2003 1:05 am
Forum: FIRE Board
Topic: Appeal for calm. Nothing to read here people. Stay calm!
Replies: 25
Views: 19984

Your method of posting just took over an interesting thread on international investing and a discussion I was enjoying exploring. Pete: You ascribe to me powers that I do not possess. No one can "take over" a thread from others. If others are interested in discussing the international inv...