Search found 10 matches

by tjscott0
Wed Jun 02, 2004 12:12 pm
Forum: FIRE Board
Topic: Oil threat to Fire?
Replies: 17
Views: 25299

Ben Solar sez Pretty interesting. :D Agreed. I missed version two of tzero first time around. The only problem now is the light weight of the vehicle(1970 lbs). I would hate to be in one when hit by full sized pick up. <g>I personally would be more interested in the plug-in hybrid pickup talked abou...
by tjscott0
Wed Jun 02, 2004 4:17 am
Forum: FIRE Board
Topic: Oil threat to Fire?
Replies: 17
Views: 25299

On the other hand, if the rest of the world doesn't depend on Saudi Arabia's oil, then their internal situation becomes irrelevant to the outside world (except maybe from a humanitarian perspective if they end up in civil war or something). In particular, I'd be willing to bet that if the "Gre...
by tjscott0
Tue Jun 01, 2004 6:38 pm
Forum: FIRE Board
Topic: Oil threat to Fire?
Replies: 17
Views: 25299

Don't forget battery electric vehicles ... people have written them off, but batteries have continued to improve. The T-Zero gets 300 mile range from off-the-shelf lithium ion batteries. http://www.acpropulsion.com/tzero_pages/tzero_FAQs.htm The driving range will vary by about a factor of two, dep...
by tjscott0
Mon May 31, 2004 6:23 pm
Forum: FIRE Board
Topic: Oil threat to Fire?
Replies: 17
Views: 25299

Saudi Arabia is like a crack dealer. Price the product too high, and customers won't be able to afford the product and might even kick the habit. "We've got almost 30% of the world's oil," says Adel al-Jubeir, foreign-policy adviser to Saudi Crown Prince Abdullah. "For us, the object...
by tjscott0
Mon May 31, 2004 4:56 pm
Forum: FIRE Board
Topic: Safe withdrawal studies using REIT allocation?
Replies: 6
Views: 12179

Ibbotson has studied correlation between stocks & REITs. That is not exactly what you requested but neverless is interesting. You will note that correlation is declining.

www.nareit.com/mediaresources/IbbotsonFinal.pdf
by tjscott0
Mon May 31, 2004 11:41 am
Forum: FIRE Board
Topic: Oil threat to Fire?
Replies: 17
Views: 25299

mike replies The big problem in the 1966 to 1982 period was inflation, which was out of control. The oil embargo was one factor, but there were others. Rising government spending because of Vietnam and the Great Society, fed policy that tried to control long term interest rates, and the fed printing...
by tjscott0
Mon May 31, 2004 3:41 am
Forum: FIRE Board
Topic: Oil threat to Fire?
Replies: 17
Views: 25299

Oil threat to Fire?

Scott Burns column titled "Facing Oil's Ugly Realities". http://www.dallasnews.com/sharedcontent/dws/bus/scottburns/columns/2004/stories/053004dnbusburns.6123d.html the most important paragraph of Scott's: One message here is very clear: When oil prices rise, stock prices tend to fall. Whe...
by tjscott0
Mon Jul 14, 2003 5:55 pm
Forum: FIRE Board
Topic: Expert Agrees to Discuss SWRs on NFB Board!
Replies: 22
Views: 30335

Expert Agrees to Discuss SWRs on NFB Boards!

peteyperson

Due to your interest in G Weiss; I suggust the following link:
http://www.quicken.com/investments/strategies/
by tjscott0
Sat May 31, 2003 9:15 am
Forum: FIRE Board
Topic: Is Bernstein changing SWR?
Replies: 19
Views: 16557

Is Berstein changing SWR?

Yes perhaps Berstein agrees with the 94% in ataloss's poll that SWR is a rule of thumb rather than mathamathical calculable number. I am certainly in the 94% catagory. One must make the best calculation possible on the data available; then make the ER jump and hope the d*mn parachute opens. If a per...
by tjscott0
Sat May 31, 2003 8:13 am
Forum: FIRE Board
Topic: Is Bernstein changing SWR?
Replies: 19
Views: 16557

Is Bernstein changing SWR?

See:http://boards.fool.com/Message.asp?mid=19122926 Bernsein: "It's not easy. The simplest way to calculate the size of your required nest egg is to divide how much you'll need from it each year by the expected real rate of return. If you'll need $50,000 a year [after taxes] to live on and $20,...